Confused by Home Price Headlines? Here’s Why

By David Parks · eXp Realty · The Apollo Group · 2 min read

The Short Answer

One headline says prices are falling and the next says they are rising. Both can be true, because asking prices cool in the fall, and price changes differ a lot from one city to another.

Confused by Home Price Headlines? Here’s Why
Illustration by David Parks

What is happening with asking prices

HousingWire Data showed the national median asking price falling from about $449,000 in early August to $435,000 two months later, a dip of about 3 percent. Part of that is seasonal, since asking prices usually cool after the busy summer, and part reflects sellers pricing to what buyers can afford at current rates. There were also more homes for sale than at any point since November 2019, and homes were taking longer to sell.

National median asking price, August to October 2026
Graphic: Keeping Current Matters

Where you live changes everything

Realtor.com notes that local trends can diverge sharply from national averages. In the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller data cited, prices over the past year rose almost 7 percent in Chicago and dipped about 1.6 percent in Seattle. The analysis also noted that buyers in Denver may have more room to negotiate, while sellers in markets with rising prices may not need to cut.

Year-over-year home price changes in major cities
Graphic: Keeping Current Matters
Quick Poll

What is your biggest question about today’s market?

Is this a crash?

Even in major metros where prices fell, the declines were 2 percent or less, far from 2008. The Federal Housing Finance Agency says national prices have risen year over year every quarter since 2012, and that a $100,000 home bought in 1991 would be worth about $436,000 today, even with the 2008 crash included.

Long-term national home price growth
Graphic: Keeping Current Matters

What to do

National headlines cannot tell you what your home is worth or how much room you have to negotiate. A local agent can. David can pull recent sales and list-to-sale ratios for your neighborhood.

Sources and dates

HousingWire, Realtor.com, S&P Cotality Case-Shiller, and FHFA, as reported in October 2026. Graphics by Keeping Current Matters.

Key Takeaways
  • What is happening with asking prices: HousingWire Data showed the national median asking price falling from about $449,000 in early August to $435,000 two months later, a dip of about 3 percent.
  • Where you live changes everything: Realtor.com notes that local trends can diverge sharply from national averages.
  • Is this a crash? Even in major metros where prices fell, the declines were 2 percent or less, far from 2008.
  • What to do: National headlines cannot tell you what your home is worth or how much room you have to negotiate.

This article is general information, not legal, tax, financial or inspection advice. Every home and situation is different, so confirm details with a licensed inspector, lender, attorney or tax professional.

David Parks
About David Parks

David is a Greater Denver real estate advisor with eXp Realty and The Apollo Group (Colorado broker license FA100103211). He has closed more than $55 million in volume, earned eXp Icon status in 2025, and holds a 5.0 rating on Zillow from 27 verified reviews.

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